Saturday, March 16, 2013

Wall Street on the Prairie: How Financial Innovation and Regulation Cajoled Citibank into South Dakota


This is the speech that I delivered Tuesday, March 12, 2013 at 05:30 PM at the MUSEUM OF AMERICAN FINANCE at 48 Wall Street in New York, NY to a crowd of about 40-45.
Thanks to my dear friend, Museum president David Cowen, and the Augustana College Thought Leader Forum committee for inviting me to speak to you tonight. I have a foot in both Manhattan and the Great Plains and hence had a lot of fun completing the background research for this speech and writing it up in a way that avoids, or pokes fun at, technical terms like regulatory arbitrage and disintermediation. A more formal analysis of the Citibank episode and South Dakota’s other economic development efforts will appear in my forthcoming book, Little Business on the Prairie: Entrepreneurship and Prosperity in South Dakota, to be published by Augustana College’s Center for Western Studies soon after I complete the manuscript later this year. Or next. Or the year after that. Having achieved tenure and middle age at the same moment, time, like my middle section, has taken on an added dimension. Having thus sated the bragging East Coast and self-deprecating Midwest parts of my psyche, let me begin.

Sioux Falls is a vibrant, growing city of about 150,000 located in southeastern South Dakota near the borders of Iowa and Minnesota. It is the commercial center of a 4 county MSA with a population approaching a quarter million people and its stores, restaurants, hospitals, and colleges serve about 1 million farmers, ranchers, and small town dwellers in the tri-state region. It is also a national center for credit card operations and has been since the early 1980s, when the New York Times complained that quote homes across the land are flooded with mailings from South Dakota offering … Mastercards – at a $20 annual fee and finance charges of 19.8 percent. unquote Today, a half dozen major credit card issuers each employ at least 100 people in Sioux Falls, and several other issuers employ staffs that number in the dozens.

Unassuming Sioux Falls became a national credit card processing and call center because in 1980 Citibank decided to relocate its massive credit card operations, which included some 6 million Mastercard and Visa holders spread across all 50 states, to the little city on the Big Sioux river. Citibank’s decision attracted considerable attention nationally and soon several other banks, including First City Bank of Houston, First National Bank of Omaha, and Michigan National Bank, also moved card operations into the Sunshine State, some into Sioux Falls but others into Rapid City in the Black Hills or Yankton along the Missouri River. An abundance of physical and human capital adapted to the credit card business now keeps card issuers in the state in the same way that magnetism keeps calendars stuck to refrigerators. In 1980, however, the state enjoyed no such specific set of human capital, so it relied instead on the personal magnetism of South Dakota governor Bill Janklow.

I never met Janklow, who passed away in early 2012, but henceforth I’ll call him Bill because that is what we do in South Dakota, call our leaders by their first names, and usually in their most familiar form too. Bill was nominally a Republican but like New Jersey governor Chris Christie he was not a party stalwart and also on the heavyset side as we say in the Coyote State. Bill had his warts, the most infamous of which you can read about on his Wikipedia page if you want, but he also had his charms, one of which was to set aside partisan bullshit – which by the way in South Dakota is an actual thing and not just a figure of speech – and actually get things done for his constituents. And I don’t mean pork – also an actual thing in South Dakota – or in other words projects that took from one and gave to another. What Bill excelled at was implementing policies that bettered the lives of some, nay sometimes all or most, South Dakotans, without injuring the interests or pockets of others, others within the state anyway. Bill’s efforts to entice good paying, environmentally clean jobs to the state was the foremost of those policies, and they took on a fever pitch in 1979, the first year of his first term, because a nasty recession was crimping state revenues. Most of the state’s needful came from real estate and sales taxes and also a state-owned cement plant. But few wanted to buy cement during the downturn, which was characterized by unusually high rates of inflation and nominal interest rates as well as by reduced output. Tax receipts of course also declined, partly due to a decrease in tourism, another big component of the state economy.

Citibank was also hurt by the recession, which was initiated by the Iranian Revolution and the abdication of Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, the Shah of Iran, in early 1979. Due to civil unrest in Iran, short to intermediate term oil supply inelasticity, and panicky remembrances of the 1973 oil crisis, the price of crude oil jumped from about $16 to $40 per barrel. That, combined with the public’s inflation expectations and the Federal Reserve’s relatively easy, pro-cyclical monetary policy under chairmen Arthur F. Burns and G. William Miller, induced yet another bout of stagflation, or a period of high inflation rates and weak economic growth.

Enter Paul Volcker, who is a friend of the Museum and, in case you have yet to meet him, as tall as a short Sasquatch. After becoming chairman of the Federal Reserve in August 1979, Volcker raised the Fed’s overnight lending rates in order to wring inflation expectations out of the economy. He also allowed commercial banks, who were losing depositors in droves, to raise the rates they paid on checking and savings deposits. Since the New Deal, the Federal Reserve had tightly regulated the rates that commercial banks could pay on deposits, effectively cartelizing them to avoid the mass panics and waves of bank failures that had rendered the Great Depression so very depressing. Members of President Roosevelt’s Brain Trust who distrusted financiers and their institutions, men like Louis Brandeis, an associate justice of the U.S. Supreme Court who in 1914 had published a scathing indictment of Wall Street called Other People’s Money and How the Bankers Use It, were thrilled with the arrangement because it made commercial banking so tranquil as to give rise to the infamous 3-6-3 Rule by which bankers borrowed at 3 percent, lent at 6 percent, and left the office to play golf at 3 p.m. The interest rate regulations, called Fed Reg Q, rendered the banking system stable for decades but when market interest rates, driven ever higher by inflation, rose above the legal caps it caused all sorts of problems, including what economists called disintermediation and what television viewers called why are so many banks making commercials about giving away toasters?

Toasters or not, under Reg Q and stagflation it made sense for depositors to pull their money out of banks and to invest it elsewhere, like money market mutual funds, where larger returns awaited. It also made sense to borrow as much as possible in the expectation of paying back cheaper dollars later. Citibank’s credit card division soon felt the pinch because it was paying 19 percent for money, lending it for less than that due to state interest caps known as usury laws, incurring operating expenses of 5 to 6 percent, and eating numerous defaults caused by the unsettled economic situation and the bank’s own inability to discern good from bad credit risks. At one point, Citibank’s credit card operations were costing it more than $300 large every day, some $2 million dollars down the tubes every week, chump change today but a lot of cheddar back then. Rather than shutter the business, Citibank’s Charlie Long, on orders from aggressive CEO Walter Wriston, began looking for a state with a more favorable business climate than New York had to offer. Pinning their hopes on the Supreme Court’s 1978 Marquette decision, which allowed a bank to charge any rate of interest lawful in either its location or that of its borrowers, Long identified 6 prospects, California, Hawaii, Rhode Island, Nevada, Missouri, and South Dakota, but eventually dropped all but South Dakota due to their distance from New York, their high costs of doing business, or the hostility of their state politicians. That last mentioned variable was essential because, due to the Douglas Amendment of the Bank Holding Company Act of 1956, out-of-state banks had to be invited into a state before they could do business in it.

Missouri held in the longest but South Dakota turned out to be the best choice overall for reasons I’ll describe a little later. The Comptroller of the Currency approved Citibank’s move in November 1980. The Federal Reserve did likewise in January 1981. Citibank South Dakota began operations in rented space in February 1981 and moved into the first of the three new buildings it would construct in the city that June. The rest, as they say, is history.

Soon after the move, a myth sprouted that Citibank had paid South Dakota to drop its usury law, its cap on the rate that lenders could lawfully charge to borrowers. The myth proliferated widely because it offered an easy explanation for Citibank’s decision to invest in a state known more for harsh winters and a surfeit of ringed neck pheasants and red-necked denizens than for financial expertise. Easterners regularly conflated North and South Dakota, evidenced by the fact that quote unquote Bismarck, South Dakota was mentioned on the national news more than once. Even less excusable, some people conflated South Dakota with South Carolina. One Wall Street venture capitalist, for example, congratulated a South Dakotan entrepreneur seeking funding by noting that he hardly had a southern drawl at all.

To the extent that South Dakota was known nationally in 1980, its reputation was far from savory. Just a few years earlier, the state had made national news due to a standoff on its infamous Pine Ridge Indian Reservation called Wounded Knee II and the murder of two FBI agents there. That was a typical Saturday night in Washington Square Park but Russell Means, who I also failed to meet before he passed last October, was then far scarier to most Americans than any New York pimp or drug dealer. And high levels of racial tension persisted in the state, even if the American Indian Movement moved out of the national spotlight. In 1975, for example, some Yankton Sioux forcibly occupied a tribally-owned but white-managed pork processing plant in Wagner. A building at Augustana College was also occupied by disgruntled Native Americans for a time.

The myth of South Dakota’s capitulation to the emerging megabank also made for great political satire, including an infamous fake news story that claimed, Onion or Colbert Report-style, that the South Dakota state legislature had voted to become a wholly owned subsidiary of Citicorp. According to the faux article, the state was thenceforth to be called Dakotacorp and Bill was to be its highly paid president. South Dakota’s capital, Pierre -- yes, it is pronounced the same as the pressure that teens put on each other to do drugs – was to be renamed Wristonville. It’s funny now but at the time it mortified South Dakotans, who traditionally abhorred just two things: big government and big business.

In fact, South Dakota took steps to eliminate its usury cap before Citibank expressed any official interest in moving to Sioux Falls. The impetus for the change came from state bankers because in 1979 South Dakota banks were in the same sinking boat as Citibank, paying big bucks to borrow but facing the state’s usury cap when they went to lend. Since its inception, South Dakota had looked for ways to keep borrowing costs for farmers and ranchers from going too high. In the 1910s it even established a state loan office that lent to farmers at 5.5 percent but shut it down after it suffered $57 million in defaults and other losses. Instead of solving the problem of high interest rates for riskier borrowers, the state’s legislature, like many before and since, pretended to solve it by capping interest rates, first at 12, then 10, then 8 percent, where it stayed from 1933 until 1970, when rising inflation and nominal interest rates made it apparent to all that the 8 percent cap prevented many prospective borrowers from finding willing lenders. The legislature responded to those pressures by twice increasing the cap 2 percent for most loans and by more for some other, inherently riskier loan types.
Nevertheless, banks were still squeezed enough on the spread between the sources and uses of their funds and hurt by an economy wracked with stagflation -- high inflation, low growth, and numerous defaults – that the very existence of the state’s banks was soon threatened, as was that of their business customers. As Paul H. Nordstrom, president of the Security State Bank in Geddes, informed Bill in late October, 1979, his bank could no longer lend to anyone except a handful of its very largest and best customers. The state’s usury law was therefore hurting quote the very class of people that it was originally intended to protect. What a paradox. unquote Bill responded in early November:
Quote I agree that the interest ceiling in its present form is causing problems for citizens and our State-chartered financial institutions. This is the end product of years of federal, congressional and executive mismanagement and inflation. I can assure you that this problem will receive careful consideration during the forthcoming legislative session. Unquote

The legislature might have simply increased its usury ceiling a few percent to buy time as it and other states had done previously but Thomas M. Reardon, the founder and chairman of Western Bank in Sioux Falls, and his son T.J. Reardon, the bank’s president, had a better idea, do away with the cap entirely for regulated institutions like their bank. South Dakota bankers quickly signed off on the radical idea and the lower house, which was dominated by libertarian-tinged Republicans, did too. Citibank then expressed interest in moving to the state if the law stuck and that sealed the deal in the upper house.

What South Dakota did do explicitly for Citibank was to change a state law that prohibited out of state bank holding companies from owning South Dakota banks. To get the state bankers who felt protected by that law on board, somebody concocted a measure that allowed out of state bank holding companies like Citibank to form, own, and operate in South Dakota small, new banks that did not compete against existing South Dakota banks. Meanwhile, back at the ranch, Bill stressed the obvious need to diversify the state’s economy away from agriculture. In 1980, South Dakota’s per capita income was $7,800, 18 percent below the national average of $9,500 and everyone knew its heavy reliance on agriculture was the main culprit. The state’s bankers acquiesced and the law passed with a large bipartisan majority in what some say was record time.

It has to be noted that those two laws – the elimination of usury caps for regulated institutions and the bank holding company enabling legislation -- were necessary but not sufficient conditions for Citibank’s move to coyote country. Citibank needed its card business to be pushed out of New York while simultaneously being pulled to Sioux Falls, which contrary to popular belief is not in the middle of nowhere, but rather on its edge. California did not have a usury law and Delaware, the king of chartermongering and corporate whoring, as stooping to corporate interests was known in some circles, soon copied South Dakota’s usury and BHC laws. So South Dakota had to have had something else going for it, something that pulled Citibank to its bosom instead of to Delaware. Bill’s magnetism was certainly part of the pull but so too were the people of South Dakota and some peculiar attributes of the state itself. And that’s where Benjamin Franklin and Werner von Braun come in.

Franklin is known for many things, from philandering to flying kites during thunderstorms. He was also a first rate monetary theorist, the founder of America’s first mutual fire insurer, and a diplomat, politician, and, more to the point here, the new nation’s first postmaster general. The post office evolved in numerous ways after Franklin’s short stint but it remained an institution that provided uneven service over the large nation that it served. Circa 1980, Sioux Falls enjoyed a very efficient post office while that of New York was, like the city it served, kind of funky smelling. Bill and others claimed that a letter sent from one borough of the city to another arrived more quickly if sent via Sioux Falls, some 1,350 miles to the west, than if sent directly across the East River. That sounds incredible and is almost certainly apocryphal marketing hype but what mattered is that Citibank officials believed that payments and other correspondence sent from most places in the country would reach Sioux Falls before they would hit New York’s financial district. It has been demonstrated, Richard C. Kane of Citicorp Credit Services wrote, quote that the efficiency of the U.S. Postal Service improves considerably when you are not dealing with major cities on either coast. unquote By 1982, 32 percent of all the mail sent to Sioux Falls went to Citibank but the local post office’s performance did not waiver.

Thanks to Nazi rocket scientist Werner von Braun, South Dakota was well connected to the national telephone network and to newer satellite communications technologies. Von Braun helped to develop America’s moon rockets and also its intercontinental ballistic missiles, many of which the military stuck in the middle of South Dakota cattle pastures and cornfields to put them out of reach of Soviet bombers and to make the Ruskies, should they ever attack, waste their nukes on sparsely settled districts. The powers that be also put a nice bomber base in western South Dakota, partly to keep it safer from attack but partly to allow the pilots to quote unquote practice for Siberia by flying low over the region’s prairies. Of course the Reds eventually made faster bombers and enough nukes to destroy the entire earth many times over but the airports and missile silos were already in South Dakota and needed to be connected to Washington and NORAD in the awful event that the launch codes had to be sent. So South Dakota had excellent, redundant communication systems, quote one of the most progressive telephone switching systems in the country unquote according to one banker. So it was almost as fast and cheap for Citibank HQ to call Sioux Falls as it was to call an uptown branch. Plus Sioux Falls was in the central time zone, an hour behind Manhattan but the same time as Minneapolis, Chicago, Kansas City, St. Louis, and the rest of the densely populated Mississippi basin, the American bottomland as archeologists call it. Sioux Falls was also just two hours ahead of California. Perhaps most importantly, it was more expensive for customers to call New York than Sioux Falls, which is near the east-west geographical center of the country, from most points in the country.

Of course there had to be somebody in Sioux Falls to pick up the phone and monitor the mail, somebody who both needed a job and could adequately fulfill its duties. Thank John Froelich and tri-state school marms for supplying Citibank with the human capital it craved. Froelich was born in Iowa in 1849, undoubtedly surrounded by corn that had to be husked by hand and that grew out of fields prepared by horse drawn plows. By 1892, he had developed and successfully demonstrated in Langford, South Dakota a dual direction, gasoline powered tractor that saved numerous man hours, and many acres of fodder, by drawing threshers, plows, and other farm implements. By the end of World War I, agricultural equipment manufacturer John Deere had taken over the design. Soon the American heartland swarmed with the simple, efficient machines, driving first horses and then men out of work. As tractors and their sundry attachments and cognates grew more complex they also grew more expensive, creating economies of scale that spurred farm consolidation. Then Jimmy Carter’s grain embargo added to the general pressure by decreasing agricultural prices.

In the early 1980s, therefore, South Dakota was awash in un- and under-employed men and women who had once been farmhands or even owned their own farms, or who had been teachers, shopkeepers, or other types of service providers in the many little farm hamlets throughout the state that withered away as the rural population declined and the agricultural districts hollowed out. Many of those folks ended up in Sioux Falls and Rapid City where they proved themselves a hard-working, dependable, and intelligent labor force.

Yes, I said intelligent. When I left NYU for Augustana a friend of mine, who shall remain nameless, joked that the median IQ in both places would increase as a result. I laughed because I was still a typical eastern elite but now I know better! The median South Dakotan is very intelligent. People from rural backgrounds often display a good deal of what some still call horse sense, a common sense, git r done kind of pragmatic knowledge. For example, when people in Winner, which is in south central South Dakota near the Rosebud Indian Reservation, wanted a semi-pro baseball team, they financed one, called the Pheasants of course, with the house rakeoff from quote unquote smokers or community poker games.

That is not to say that South Dakota hasn’t made some boneheaded moves in the past. As I mentioned previously, in the 1920s it lost almost $60 million dollars, a huge sum for the time, on farm mortgages. Governor Peter Norbeck thought that the state could borrow on better terms than individual farmers could, then relend the money to those farmers, or voters in other words, on very favorable terms. He was right, the state government was capable of selling bonds and making loans. It turns out, however, that it wasn’t so good at inducing voter-borrowers to repay, especially after they were hard hit by the agricultural depression of the 1920s and the drought and dust storms of the 1930s. The state thought it had sufficient equity cushion but it turns out that having neighbors appraise each others’ farms does not lead to conservative valuations. Such missteps were rare, however, and state-owned businesses, including the cement plant and some rail lines, proved successful at times because the state outsourced their management.

More surprisingly, perhaps, than their abundance of good horse sense, many South Dakotans are also well educated in the formal, city slicker sense of the term. South Dakota spends relatively little on K through 12 education – it is right down there with Puerto Rico and Mississippi in per capita terms – but somehow its students score in the top quartile on national exams. Its eastern half anyway is part of the Midwest, which traditionally values education very highly. And outside the mighty metropoles at either end of the state, class sizes are often small, 50 or fewer. I’m talking graduating class sizes here, not the number of students in classrooms. Stories abound like that of Grace Fairchild, a Wisconsin-born tomboy who moved to Parker, South Dakota circa 1900 and soon after took up a homestead near Philip, about 90 miles southwest of Pierre. Despite facing all of the many hardships of frontier life and a few more besides, she managed to get her many children through not just high school but state college, all except for one n’er do well son and the daughter who was accidentally shot and killed by her sister when playing a game of coyote.

However they did it with the meager resources at their disposal, South Dakota’s school teachers done good, done real good. In the early 1980s, the state boasted the highest literacy rate in the country and had one of the nation’s most productive workforces. A surprisingly large percentage had college degrees and due to the state’s high level of religiosity, which for the most part is a genuine sort of spirituality based on service to others and not just ritualistic or perfunctory church attendance, call center workers were if anything too eager to help customers, a problem less frequently encountered in, say, employees from Brooklyn or Newark – no disrespect, I’m not saying, I’m just saying.
Citibank was thrilled with the quality of the available workforce, which it considered the most productive of any in the 40 states in which it did business. South Dakotans worked diligently and well but also came cheap. The state’s tax burden was very light, the 48th lowest in the nation at the time. The bank franchise tax paid by Citibank in South Dakota, for example, was 6.5 percent of profits, compared to the 15 percent that prevailed in New York at the time. In South Dakota, Bill used to say, quote the only hand in your pocket is your own. unquote And South Dakota’s overall business climate ranked 11th best in the country and employers enjoyed among the lowest rates for worker’s compensation and unemployment insurance in the nation.

The state’s wage structure was also low. In 1985, for instance, Citibank reported that it paid a temp agency $5.20 an hour per worker, who received only $3.80 of that sum. The federal minimum wage was then $3.35. Some, like Ben Radcliffe of the South Dakota Farmers Union, complained that Citibank viewed South Dakota as quote something akin to a third world country unquote but in fact the state’s low wages were a function of its low cost of living. Healthcare costs were a third cheaper than in New York. Housing was dirt cheap even though sod had long since been abandoned as a home construction material, and rents were a mere fraction of those in and around New York. Wages were also low due to South Dakota’s long tradition as a so-called right to work state, a euphemism for anti-union in case you were wondering. Meatpacking giant John Morrell, which had a big facility in Sioux Falls, and mammoth Black Hills gold mine Homestake were, unsurprisingly, the leading lights of the right to work movement. The state’s long right-to-work tradition was yet another inducement to employers like Citibank, which foresaw few labor relations headaches in the state. Bill loved to tell prospective entrants that South Dakota was the 50th best state in the nation: for crime, energy costs, and time lost due to union work stoppages.

Citibank officials also lauded South Dakotans for having little discernible accent, for being quote pure vanilla … with but a few idiosyncracies. unquote South Dakotans pronounce a few words differently than elsewhere in the country, where ruff is the sound a dog makes, not the top of a house, and they use a few words in usual ways. I was taken aback, for example, when I was asked if I wanted a ticket at the end of my first restaurant meal in Sioux Falls … why, what did I do wrong, I asked? But for the most part South Dakotans all sound like television news anchorman Tom Brokaw, who hails from Webster, South Dakota in case you didn’t know. Sportscaster Pat O’Brien, Entertainment Tonight host Mary Hart, The Price is Right’s Bob Barker, January Jones, a.k.a. Betty Draper on Mad Men, Cheryl Ladd of Charlie’s Angels fame, David Soul from Starsky and Hutch, Catherine Bach, Daisy Duke from the old Dukes of Hazard TV show, and Ranae Holland, who tromps around the woods looking for Bigfoot every Sunday night on the Animal Plant network, are also all South Dakotans too, though perhaps slightly more attractive than the median denizen of the Blizzard State.

So South Dakota had a lot of things pulling for it: a sufficiently large, sufficiently educated workforce that worked hard and cheap. Despite living on the edge of nowhere, South Dakotans could handle calls from both coasts without working absurd hours and they were easily understood by callers from throughout the nation. Checks and correspondence arrived quickly and were not allowed to fester on the mailing room floor. And the state government was stable and pro-business. As Helen Wegner, a Pierre bureaucrat, explained to a senior vice president at the Bank of New York, which in 1983 considered moving some of its operations to Sioux Falls: quote South Dakota is a state where profit is not a bad word and where government views itself as a partner of business not its regulatory master. unquote In South Dakota, Bill once bragged to a Texas banker, quote Republicans and Democrats have come and gone, but our business climate has never been affected by the political weather. unquote

Sensing a big opportunity after Citibank’s move, Bill kicked the apparatus of the state government, such as it was, into high gear. State officials kept contact notes on prospective entrants similar to those maintained by corporate sales reps. Bill sent bankers engraved faux wedding invitations, complete with reply cards, to quote a Renaissance of Free Enterprise. unquote Not everyone, however, liked what they saw. The Bank of New York opted for Delaware instead and Sears, GMAC, and others jilted Bill after courtships of varying lengths and intensities. New York commercial banks Manufacturers Hanover and Chemical Bank also investigated the Mount Rushmore State but didn’t come. Seattle First National and Ranier, both based in Washington state, also looked hard at South Dakota, one going so far as to buy office space in Rapid City, but ultimately stayed away. Perhaps they did not believe that South Dakota’s quality of life was as high as the erstwhile New Yorkers who came with Citibank claimed it was. The biggest obstacle for many outsiders is the weather, which is much understood. It gets very, very cold and windy in the winter. When the jet stream dips deep into Dixie and it is fifteen degrees Fahrenheit in Manhattan with a zero wind chill, it is likely 10 below in Sioux Falls, with wind chills around fiddy below – yep, that’s five zero under zero. But Dakota’s freeze is usually a dry, sunny cold that lasts only a few months at most. The dry air and the fresh breezes of the spring and fall are invigorating, beckoning people outdoors to work, play, or enjoy the often spectacular sunsets and nightly gallery of stars. The air has such a delightful tang, one early twentieth century homemaker noted, quote It makes you want to work. unquote  And while parts of the prairie are monotonously flat, the state has been nicknamed the land of infinite variety because of its beautiful Black Hills, its stark badlands, its plentiful riverine arroyos, its bountiful glacial lakes, and the series of huge manmade lakes that bisect it. Perhaps the bankers who didn’t come were never really interested in moving to South Dakota at all but rather sought to extract more favorable legislation at home, which most eventually received.

Indirectly, then, South Dakota pushed national and state regulators and lawmakers towards banking deregulation and helped to spread credit cards to a wider swathe of American consumers. Neither was necessarily a good thing as both were causes, though indirect ones, of the Panic of 2008. But if Bill and Citibank had not aligned in the early 1980s, surely other pressures would have led to the same outcome. I think that historians will soon begin to refer to the 1990s and the first decade of the 21st century as the Pyrite Age, a sort of less violent repeat of the Gilded Age where powerful political and corporate interests dazzled Americans with fool’s gold instead of gold trim. I have a short essay about it that will appear shortly in ABC Clio’s Idea Exchange website that I urge you to check out but the gist is that Americans today are not as upset about inequalities in wealth and corporate welfare as they were a century ago, when powerful third political parties were almost as ubiquitous as bombs and assassination plots, because they conflate credit, the ability to borrow on easy terms, with actual wealth, or assets minus liabilities.

Further evidence that American history would have marched down the same path to financial Armageddon with or without South Dakota comes from a little known postscript to the Citibank in Sioux Falls slash Wall Street on the Prairie story. In March 1983, South Dakota, still led by Bill and fresh from rendering state usury laws a dead letter, again teamed up with Citibank to try to circumvent financial regulations, this time the regulatory wall that separated commercial banking and insurance. Citibank was interested in entering the insurance market because it believed it could prosper there. In fact, a decade previously it had tried to buy into the Chubb Insurance Group but was prevented from doing so by the Federal Reserve, the main regulator of bank holding companies. For his part, Bill was interested quote to gain more jobs for South Dakota unquote and to quote bring down the artificial economic barriers that really don’t do my state or America any good. unquote The entering wedge was again a new law, this one allowing South Dakota banks to engage in insurance activities. To gain the acquiescence of the state insurance industry, which at that time numbered over 60 insurance companies and some 750 active agents and brokers, the law stipulated that state banks active in insurance could not attempt to lure customers away from other South Dakota insurers or banks. Let’s not kid ourselves, Bill noted in a letter to concerned insurance men, quote no large national financial services company is going to risk jeopardizing its unique opportunity to do business in 49 other states by trying to attract even a small amount of extra business in this state. unquote In that same letter, Bill also adroitly pointed out that if South Dakota didn’t pass the legislation another state would and that it wouldn’t protect South Dakota insurers from competition.
Interest in the new law was intense. Within a few weeks of its passage, 15 bank holding companies had begun investigating the possibility of entering insurance markets via South Dakota. By the end of June 1983 Citicorp had purchased American State Bank of Rapid City, First Interstate Bancorp had scooped up Big Stone State Bank, and Security Pacific Bancorp had announced its intention to make an acquisition, all with the intent of beginning insurance operations. Those banks were optimistic because the Federal Reserve had for some years allowed the state-chartered bank affiliates of bank holding companies to engage in any activity which they were permitted to engage in under their state charters.

This time, however, Bill and Citicorp were up against Volcker, the insurance lobby, and common sense, not antiquated state usury statutes. An article in American Banker by Thomas E. Wilson called the theory behind the law quote utterly bankrupt, belied by the plain language of the BHC Act and the well-established principle of the law that federal law predominates over state laws when the two come into conflict. unquote Wilson also astutely noted that quote it would be extraordinarily unwise unquote to permit bank holding companies to engage in insurance because quote it is hard to imagine two industries more incompatible than banking and insurance. unquote

Despite renewed sarcastic references to South Dakota Inc., Bill and Citibank fought hard and in November 1984 actually received the blessing of the Department of Justice, which reasoned that quote there are substantial competitive benefits to be gained from permitting banking organizations to expand into new financial activities. unquote But in the summer of 1985 the Federal Reserve rejected Citicorp’s request to enter the insurance game because, as Wilson had noted, the law clearly differentiated between banking and related activities, which were lawful for bank holding companies or their subsidiaries to engage in, and insurance activities, which were not.

Volcker was adamantly opposed to allowing Citicorp or other BHCs from buying South Dakota banks as a mechanism for entering the national insurance market. In a May 1983 speech, he argued that a conservative approach to the matter was in order because it involved quote an area vital to the stability and prospects of the economy as a whole. unquote Federal Reserve governor Martha Seger was also opposed and pointed out that because South Dakota’s law prevented competition within the state it was clearly designed solely to circumvent federal law.

Volcker left office in 1987 and his successor, Alan Greenspan, harbored rather different views. Federal regulators later allowed commercial banks and insurers to merge and what the heck why not investment banks too? The result was rather disastrous as the resulting behemoths proved themselves too big to manage or govern and then too big to fail, but not too big to bail out with taxpayer money. Bill probably had some things on his conscience when he passed just over a year ago now, but the financial crisis of 2008 was not one of them. In the early 1980s analysts like John R. Dunne warned of a regulatory race to the bottom, led by states like South Dakota and Delaware eager to attract mobile, high-paying, low impact industries like finance to their states. Quote Such policies, like those already legislated in South Dakota, he warned, represent the bad side of deregulation and could lead to a deregulatory free-for-all. unquote A free-for-all did ensue but it focused on mortgage debt, not credit cards. And the deregulation wave of the 1990s and early aughts went on with no more significant input from South Dakota, which sailed through the housing bubble, financial crisis, and Great Recession with astonishingly little difficulty. In December 2011, three full years after the Panic of 2008 ended, South Dakota’s unemployment rate was, at 4.2 percent, the third lowest in the nation behind its neighbors Nebraska and North Dakota, which continued to experience an energy boom of Albertan proportions.

Mention of the recent bailouts brings me to the final person I promised to connect to this story, Alexander Hamilton. Hamilton has hung over the entire proceeding both literally and figuratively. The space we now occupy was once the private banking room of the Bank of New York, one of three banks that Hamilton helped to form before his life was snatched from him. A room bearing his name, likeness, and story lay just a few yards away. I interpret Hamilton as a civil libertarian, so I think he would have applauded South Dakota’s decision to abolish its usury cap, especially under an inflationary fiat currency regime. I also believe he would not have seen a problem with bank holding companies or interstate banking. He was the main mover behind the Bank of the United States after all, and soon accepted its directors’ decision to create branches in multiple states. He was far from a knee jerk advocate of deregulation, however, so I doubt he would have seen much merit in endangering deposits, especially after the advent of deposit insurance, by allowing banks to engage in insurance. And he surely would have opposed the Too Big to Fail doctrine that arose out of the Savings and Loan Crisis of the 1980s. In fact, David, Museum board chairman and financial historian Richard Sylla, and I recently published an article where we show that Hamilton espoused a lender of last resort rule that would later be named after Economist magazine editor Walter Bagehot.  The rule, which saves solvent institutions, allows insolvent ones to fail, and doesn’t reward bad behavior, is one that South Dakotans steeped in horse sense would adopt for the entire country if they could. There are also a heap of Hamiltonian corporate governance reforms, described in my forthcoming book Corporation Nation, that would also be readily taken up if South Dakotans ran the show in Washington, as South Dakota natives Hubert Humphrey and George McGovern tried to do in 1968 and 1972, respectively, another dark time in the nation’s history. They both lost to Richard Nixon -- McGovern handily so -- which goes to show that while the majority rules it often isn’t very smart. Maybe, someday, the majority will be smart enough to follow the teachings of Hamilton and the horse sense of South Dakotans. Maybe, someday, we will have some of the prairie on Wall Street. Citibank N.A.’s recent decision to move its nominal headquarters from Nevada to Sioux Falls is a good start, though everyone knows that the real power is still at Citigroup holding company headquarters up on Park Ave. Maybe someday it too will move to Minnesota Avenue, or somebody from South Dakota will be running the show here in the Big Apple. Until then, keep your ass …ets safe. Thanks!

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Sequester the Sequestration?

Federal Government Expenditures as a Percentage of Nominal GDP



I don't know the official reason that Washington elites give when asked why they decided to call automatic budget cuts "sequestration" but it sure is ironic because one of the meanings of the verb form, "sequester," is to remove property from the possession of the owner temporarily until a lawsuit or other dispute is settled. Could it be that the federal government thinks that taxpayers' money is its own property so when a dispute over its use arises in Congress the funds have to be "sequestered?" A more interesting question is why Congress remains deadlocked over the budget. The simple answer is that a significant percentage of Americans, but by no means all, believe that the federal government has grown too big.

Are they right? Well, that (too) requires making a valuable judgement. But they certainly have empirical reasons to be concerned, as the time series chart above suggests. What it shows is that the U.S. government was first tiny compared to the overall size of the economy (Remember, the dispute between Hamilton and Jefferson was over whether the government would be tiny or teensy weeny, not "large" or "small" as reported in too many textbooks ... see my One Nation Under Debt for details.). During major wars (1812, Civil, WWI, WWII, all clearly visible on the graph), federal expenditures grew as a percentage of GDP, only to subside after the war. (Note, though, that they never went back to their prewar level. This is what economist Bob Higgs has called the ratchet effect.) Since the Depression, however, government expenditures/GDP have trended upward, first due to the New Deal, then to a series of minor "wars" (Korea, Vietnam, Cold, Drugs, Terrorism) and "races" (space, missile).

The growth of federal spending as a percentage of GDP was not monotonic after World War II but rather exhibited ups and downs with a clear upward trend that was not attenuated until the 1970s and partially reversed in the 1990s. (It wasn't that the government shrank -- nominal expenditures have grown every year but one since 1956 -- but rather that the economy grew faster than government expenditures under Clinton.) Since Obama has taken office, however, government expenditures have surged while the economy has been stagnant. Expenditures over GDP is therefore at a peacetime high.

Americans might be quite happy to allow government expenditures to continue to expand faster than the economy if they believed that they benefited from it in a significant way. Most don't, however, as evidenced by the dismally low approval ratings for Congress and other federal institutions, like Social Security (which people like when it is paying them or relatives but despise when its Fubar characteristics are explained).

The best of all worlds would be for Congress to increase the government's efficiency, to have it do what it currently does well with fewer resources and to have it stop doing things it does not/cannot do well. That is not going to happen, however, because few in Congress have the requisite brainpower and none have the necessary incentives to make such decisions.

Second best will be to suffer the sequestration cuts, skimp through the growth slowdown/recession likely to follow, and prepare for the economic boom likely to begin a year or two out.

Worse will be for Congress to "kick the can down the road" yet again (enact more temporary measures). The worst measure would be for Congress to continue to force huge deficits down the throats of our children, grandchildren, and great grandchildren.

Monday, January 14, 2013

G Dub/AH on public credit

Washington's Farewell Address, 1796 (drafted by Alexander Hamilton):

As a very important source of strength and security, cherish public credit. One method of preserving it is to use it as sparingly as possible, avoiding occasions of expense by cultivating peace, but remembering also that timely disbursements to prepare for danger frequently prevent much greater disbursements to repel it, avoiding likewise the accumulation of debt, not only by shunning occasions of expense, but by vigorous exertion in time of peace to discharge the debts which unavoidable wars may have occasioned, not ungenerously throwing upon posterity the burden which we ourselves ought to bear. The execution of these maxims belongs to your representatives, but it is necessary that public opinion should co-operate. To facilitate to them the performance of their duty, it is essential that you should practically bear in mind that towards the payment of debts there must be revenue; that to have revenue there must be taxes; that no taxes can be devised which are not more or less inconvenient and unpleasant; that the intrinsic embarrassment, inseparable from the selection of the proper objects (which is always a choice of difficulties), ought to be a decisive motive for a candid construction of the conduct of the government in making it, and for a spirit of acquiescence in the measures for obtaining revenue, which the public exigencies may at any time dictate.

[Emphases mine.]

NB: I published an extended discussion of this graf on Bloomberg here.

Tuesday, January 08, 2013

Reminders of my views on debt ceilings and deliberate defaults

Due to the ridonculuous non-solution to the "fiscal cliff" issue, there has been all sorts of crazy talk about the debt ceiling ceiling, trillion dollar platinum coins, and what not so of course I have been fielding emails and phone calls instead of writing my book, Little Business on the Prairie. Here are some links to my previous writings on the subject, which seem pretty darn prescient (esp. the bit about needing to borrow to help a part of the country ravaged by a natural disaster). Enjoy ... again, or for the first time. And please, no more b.s. about trillion dollar platinum coins (or any other denomination for that matter).

On this blog:
April 21, 2011: The Debt Ceiling Crisis
July 19, 2011: Debt Ceiling Dilemma
July 25, 2011: Why Deliberately Defaulting on the National Debt or Any Other Sums Owed Would be Unconstitutional

On the History News Network (HNN):
Original Intent and the Debt Ceiling

And if any of you are wondering what I think of the ICE takeover of the NYSE, see my post of this day on the Bloomberg Echoes blog:
NYSE's Long History of Mergers and Rivalries

Sunday, November 04, 2012

Governance, Finance, and Entrepreneurship: Global Lessons for Indian Country Policy Makers



This is the substance of a talk I am giving on Tuesday, Nov. 6 (yep, election day) at the Society for Government Economists' annual conference at George Washington U. in Washington, DC.

Many thanks to my colleagues Eddie Welch and Bill Swart for their comments on earlier drafts.

By Robert E. Wright, Nef Family Chair of Political Economy, Augustana College SD


                For seven years I taught a course in the MBA program at New York University’s Stern School of Business called “Global Perspectives on Enterprise Systems.” During that span, two other professors who taught that same course, business historian George Smith and financial historian Richard Sylla, joined me to create and elaborate an heuristic device we called the “Diamond of Sustainable Growth” to help students to better understand the economic development process. As we read widely in comparative economic history and worked with students to apply the model to specific countries across the globe and across history, we concluded that our teaching tool was actually a four stage descriptive model that fit the history of every wealthy nation on earth, with the exception of a few countries temporarily grown fat by exploiting natural resources like oil.
                The diamond reference in our heuristic refers to a baseball diamond, not a precious gem or Jared. We can dispense with the baseball analogy here and move right to the heart of the matter. What we discovered is that nations that have experienced sustained increases in real per capita economic output have all followed the same four stages, in order. First they developed non-predatory governments and de facto limited constitutions. Non-predatory governments protect life, liberty, and property; de facto limited constitutions contain checks and balances that effectively reduce predatory behavior by the government. With expectations of future protection of property and human rights in place, modern financial systems arose, then open access entrepreneurial systems, and finally modern management techniques. Holland, Great Britain, the United States, Canada, France, the Scandinavian nations, and the Asian, Latin, and Celtic tigers all went through those same stages in the same order, which is a logical sequence as well as an historical one. Before modern management becomes necessary, an economy needs large companies which are the result of competition between entrepreneurs for sales and financing. Before people have an incentive to create a well articulated financial system, they need to have fairly strong assurances that their property, not to mention their lives and liberties, will be secure from threats foreign and domestic.
Impoverished nations in Latin America, Africa, Eastern Europe, Central Asia, the Middle East, Southeast Asia, and Micronesia suffer under governments that are predatory, that in other words do not adequately protect most citizens’ lives, liberties, or properties. In many such cases, the governments themselves are the local alpha predator and their predatory practices range from genocide, famine, and unchecked pestilence to systemic corruption and crony capitalism to institutions that, purposely or not, create and perpetuate an underclass, a topic to which I will shortly return.
Nations that backtracked, including Argentina, Japan, and Germany, experienced revolutions that established governments that offered fair protections of their citizens’ lives, liberties, and properties. They later suffered economically, however, when their constitutions proved to have de facto checks and balances insufficient to prevent a return to predatory government. After the horrors of World War II, Japan and Germany developed constitutions with de facto checks and balances and unsurprisingly thrived economically thereafter. That Japan’s economy has remained stagnant, albeit at a high income level, since the early 1990s is testament to the strength of national economies once they have achieved all four stages of development described by the diamond model.[1]
The reason that you probably haven’t heard of the diamond model is that it has not been tested statistically. As larger and improved datasets addressing governance quality, financial systems, entrepreneurship, and management become available, however, testing has become more appealing and I’d be happy to team up with anyone who wants to do so. For me, however, the most compelling evidence of the model’s power comes out of natural experiments, not statistics. Several nations have been arbitrarily cut into two and randomly assigned different types of government while retaining similar cultures, histories, genetics, natural resource endowments, and so forth. Those with non-predatory governments and sufficient de facto checks and balances developed modern financial, entrepreneurial, and management systems and they grew economically and have stayed wealthy even in the face of global financial shocks. Think West Germany, South Korea, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. Those with predatory governments have remained or became impoverished. Think East Germany, North Korea, and mainland China before Deng’s reforms.[2]
Pertinent to our focus here today, the diamond model also helps to explain differences in economic outcomes within nations. South Africa has a bifurcated economy because its government was long non-predatory toward whites and highly predatory toward blacks. India’s economy is also uneven due to the long persistence of the Hindu caste system. The U.S. South lagged the North economically until the remnants of slavery, Jim Crow, and the KKK were defeated in the 1960s. Appalachia remains somewhat backwards but improved dramatically after company coal towns in cahoots with tidewater politicians were reformed after the Second World War.
And American Indian Reservations in the continental United States were poverty stricken places until federal, state, and tribal governments made credible commitments to protect the lives, liberties, and properties of Native Americans. Well, I hope to be able to claim that within the next two or three decades. As it stands now, many natives rightly equate their situation with blacks in South Africa under apartheid. Much of the impetus for change is being provided by native peoples themselves, some from well meaning outsiders like the people in the audience here, and some from federal budget constraints. Providing basic public goods like protection of life, liberty, and property is cheap in the scheme of things and certainly less expensive than trying to micromanage Reservation economies with bureaucratic controls, the modus operandi for over a century. After adequately protecting Natives’ lives, liberties, and properties, policymakers should stand aside and watch the woodlands, prairies, and even the Badlands blossom, metaphorically if not literally. As native American entrepreneur Charlie Colombe put it, “if we had good … governments, we would be overflowing with business opportunities and jobs.”[3]
What Indian Country can do without are grand top down schemes, the sort of government or NGO planning rightly derided by Bill Easterly, Dambisa Moyo, Hernando de Soto, and others, that have so often failed in Indian Country as well as in Africa, Latin America, and elsewhere. As Adam Smith put it in 1755, “Little else is requisite to carry a state to the highest degree of opulence from the lowest barbarism, but peace, easy taxes and a tolerable administration of justice; all the rest being brought by the natural course of things. All governments which thwart this natural course, which force things into another channel or which endeavour to arrest the progress of society at a particular point, are unnatural, and to support themselves are obliged to be oppressive and tyrannical.”[4]
We can debate what Smith meant by “easy taxes” but basically he argued that nations with predatory governments will have lousy economies while those with non-predatory ones will thrive, regardless of their resource endowments. He elaborated on that point in his discussion of China in the Wealth of Nations. “China seems to have been long stationary,” he noted, “and had probably long ago acquired that full complement of riches which is consistent with the nature of its laws and institutions. But this complement,” he added, “may be much inferior to what, with other laws and institutions, the nature of its soil, climate, and situation might admit of.” Rather than natural resource endowments determining income levels, in other words, Smith saw that “laws and institutions” were the limiting factors.[5]
In the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, the notion was widespread that the quality of political governance mattered far more to income levels than natural resource endowments did. In an 1831 book, Albert Gallatin, the longest serving treasury secretary in U.S. history, argued that “the increased wealth and prosperity of Europe and America are the cause, and not the effect, of the increased amount in value of gold and silver, which they now possess. The causes of that great increase of wealth, are not to be found in the fertility of the mines of America, but in the general progress of knowledge, skill, and every species of industry, in the consequent improvement of governments, laws, and habits, in all that constitutes civilization.” Two years previously, an anonymous author argued that “the powerful influence of good laws and their good administration on the wealth and prosperity of nations, is in theory universally acknowledged. A wise and beneficent policy in the law of debtor and creditor, or in any laws affecting the interests of large numbers,” he continued, “may do more to advance the welfare of a nation than the greatest natural advantages.” “Who would carry on business,” he asked, “in a place in which wealth rendered the life of its possessor insecure?”[6]
Who indeed? What has been missing on Indian Reservations from the beginning has been good governance, assurances that life, liberty, and property would be protected by the government, not taken by it. The cost of poor governance has been enormous. According to one Treasury Department study, Indian Reservations should have received $44 billion more in investment than they actually have. Other studies have come to comparable conclusions.[7]
Much of the blame for the investment deficit falls squarely on the federal government. “We must act with vindictive earnestness against the Sioux,” General William Tecumseh Sherman told President Grant, “even to their extermination, men, women, and children. Nothing less will reach the root of the case.” But one does not have reference the Trail of Tears, Bad Axe, Bloody Island, Sand Creek, Bear River, Skull Valley, Fort Robinson, Wounded Knee, hundreds of lesser known massacres, or even the Cobell case against the Department of the Interior to show that the federal government behaved in a predatory manner toward Native Americans. Even more insidious was the reservation and government trading systems that developed over the nineteenth century because they bred dependence, a point well understood by astute contemporaries. Indian commissioner E. A. Hayt argued from his experience in the mid-1870s that “civilization” had “loosened” and in some cases even “broken, the bonds that regulate and hold together Indian society” but the federal government had failed to fill the resulting power vacuum. As a result, “women are brutally beaten and outraged; men are murdered in cold blood … and schools are dispersed by bands of vagabonds; but there is no redress.”[8]
An Indian agent complained in 1880 that while the government stood idly by traders exploited Native Americans on both ends of trades, charging too much for manufactured goods and crediting too little for Indian wares, a common expropriation technique of predatory leaders and their cronies throughout the globe to this day. Other agents and newspaper reporters evinced similar sentiments, rendering the common complaint that Native Americans were “disinclined to work” unsurprising. By the 1910s, Native Americans in South Dakota had been thoroughly pacified, “partly through kindness and partly through fear” in the words of one Dakotan farmwife. Yet predatory pacification policies persisted for decades thereafter. Land allotment and inheritance policies, for example, rendered Indians’ lands less valuable than they would otherwise have been by dividing ownership among hundreds or even thousands of descendants. In addition, the over 11 million acres of Indian lands still owned in trust by the U.S. government are not available to collateralize loans. The reason for the trust arrangement, like the rationale for most aspects of Indian policy, was deeply racist and paternalistic: don’t let Indians run into debt or they will surely lose their lands. But the policy had the effect of cutting Native peoples off from a major source of startup capital, keeping them dependent on the government and non-Native businesses for employment except in the rare instances when other collateral was available. Tim Giago obtained initial funding for his newspaper, for example, by putting up a classic automobile as collateral. By the 1950s, so-called “termination,” a process by which the federal government no longer recognized tribes, had replaced physical annihilation but the effect on incentives was nearly as negative. The Klamath tribes, for example, lost 1.8 million acres when they were “terminated” in 1954 and their lands were not returned when federal recognition was restored in 1986.[9]
Most interaction between native tribes and government occurs at the federal level but state and county governments have also generally governed Reservations poorly in several important realms of responsibility, including criminal justice, transportation and other infrastructure, income redistribution, taxation, and business regulation. Government policies at all levels create a vicious cycle of low expectations, high unemployment, and low wages that cannot be broken solely by economic forces. According to certain neoclassical economic models, the high levels of unemployment endemic on most Reservations should attract capitalists eager to tap a cheap, easily replaceable workforce. It has not, however, worked out that way on most Reservations. In the postwar period, for example, several businesses tried to establish factories on South Dakota’s Indian Reservations, most of which then as now were among the poorest of the poor. Some lasted for several years but all eventually failed or moved away, including a meat packing plant, a bison ranching and slaughtering operation, and factories for making arrows, dolls, electrical circuits, fish hooks, moccasins, and shirts. The state’s Employment Security Department, for example, expected big things of the Wright & McGill Fishing Tackle Company, which set up operations on the Pine Ridge reservation in 1960. Wright & McGill is still around but shuttered its Pine Ridge facilities in 1968. It turns out that businesses do not seek low wages per se, they seek high levels of productivity, of output per dollar paid in compensation. Unsurprisingly, uneducated, unmotivated Natives did not on average produce enough to justify even their low wages, so manufacturers moved on.[10]
More recent attempts to improve life for Native Americans has in a way reinforced their dependency by raising incomes without necessarily sparking development. The gambling, gasoline tax, and tobacco tax regulatory advantages of native tribes helped to relieve some poverty but in some ways replicate natural endowment curses. Oil and other endowments raise per capita incomes but stymie development by allowing and even encouraging governments to remain predatory by fueling corruption. Tribes, like other nations, are best off when they begin to tap endowments after developing well-checked and balanced non-predatory governments. Of course the BIA and corporations have ensured that Natives would rarely face such a problem by stripping the Black Hills from the Lakota, fleecing the Navajo nation of the majority of its reserves, and similar acts of predation.[11]
Wealth without development alleviates poverty but only temporarily. Casinos have brought wealth to a few tribes near major urban centers but what happens when gamblers start visiting the rapidly growing number of alternatives? Or if gambling enters a secular decline, as has happened several times in the past? (Thankfully, several well-governed tribes have used gambling profits to diversify into other, less volatile businesses.) And what happens when hybrids and electric vehicles mean fewer trips to the gas pumps? Or if Congress revokes one or more other tribal regulatory advantages? Rather than regulatory advantages or natural resource endowments like water, fossil fuels, minerals, or timber, the improvement in economic conditions on many Reservations since the mid-1990s is best attributed to the Self-Governance Act of 1994 because after its passage all Natives faced a federal government somewhat less capable of predation.[12]
The self-determination movement, however, brought problems of its own. Tribal governments are less predatory than federal, state, and county governments but many tribes do not have the capacity to protect the lives, liberties, or properties of individual Native Americans sufficiently to induce those individuals to invest in their own education, health, or other aspects of their human capital. “Prolonged federal paternalism,” explained The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development in its recent book, “has resulted in underdeveloped institutions and in tribal leadership that is ill-prepared to lead fully sovereign communities.” Internal disputes and jealousies do not help matters. “So many times,” explains Rosebud Reservation entrepreneur Wayne Boyd, “our tribal governments enact laws that counteract economic development.”[13]
Moreover, many tribal governments have yet to enact the basic laws or court precedents needed to assure financiers and entrepreneurs that their successful efforts will be fairly rewarded. Most tribal constitutions do not explicitly bar impairment of contractual obligations and have not included ex post facto stipulations in their constitutions. Many tribes have yet to create separation of powers between their courts and their legislative tribal councils, and suffer for it with higher unemployment rates. Most have yet to enact the UCC and many lack zoning ordinances or land use plans. Those that have find effective implementation challenging. Many tribes also lack checks and balances rooted in traditional governance practices, largely because many adopted, or were forced to adopt, the weak cookie-cutter constitution proffered in the 1934 Indian Reorganization Act. Constitutions imposed from on high, or from outside of domestic political traditions, did not work in Latin America or most other places. Checks against undue power come in many varieties, not all of them de jure or conjured up by the U.S. Framers. When it comes to checking predation, substance trumps form every time. Natives need to find what checks work in their society and implement them.[14]
One would expect to find little in the way of finance, large scale innovative entrepreneurship, or modern management on the worst governed Reservations and one would be right. The first native controlled credit union on the Pine Ridge Reservation, Lakota FCU, was approved just a few months ago and is slated to begin operations in Kyle this month. Pine Ridge is hardly an outlier in this regard as a Treasury department report released in 2001 found that only 14 percent of Indian Reservations had even a single financial institution to serve their communities. Over a third of Native Americans had to travel at least 30 miles, mostly on dirt roads, to reach an ATM or bank. In 2008, the 561 federally recognized tribes owned only 21 FDIC insured banks. Little wonder then that when Natives need to borrow, most must resort to loan sharks or other uber-expensive types of lenders.[15]
Native-owned businesses have increased in number in the best governed areas but overall entrepreneurship is lacking. In fact, native Americans own private businesses at the lowest rate per capita of any group in the United States. When the Lakota Fund, a micro-finance lender, was established in 1985, there were fewer than 40 registered businesses on a 2 million acre reservation, and most were owned by non-Natives. The situation has since improved but in 2006 only about 5 percent of the working age population in the Rosebud and Cheyenne River reservations were engaged in formal entrepreneurial activities and more than half of all businesses operating on or near those reservations were owned by non-Natives.[16]
Numerous replicative unregistered nano-enterprises owned by natives operate in the underground economy, as is typical in Third World nations with chronic double digit unemployment and little public confidence in government authorities, but few innovative or scalable enterprises exist, though interest in entrepreneurship among Natives has been trending upward since the mid-1990s. Receiving small liquidity loans from micro-finance lenders helped many beaders, quilters, nano-retailers, and others to escape the deepest depths of poverty but in and of themselves are insufficient to transform local economies, in part because it takes Natives significantly more time and money to register businesses than it takes non-natives to.[17]
Where tribes have done well developmentally, tribal governance has been non-predatory and political power has been sufficiently checked. The Mescalero Apache Tribe, for example, improved its economy by first changing its constitution to promote, in the words of Wendell Chino, “more stability.” Chief Phillip Martin of the Mississippi Choctaw also credits constitutional reform for his tribe’s relative economic success, which includes enough automobile subassembly, plastics manufacturing, printing, and electronics manufacturing jobs for every tribe member who is willing and able to work. Similarly, economic conditions on the Flathead Reservation in Montana improved after constitutional reforms reduced tensions between rival tribes. Tribal corporations have done best where not subjected to political oversight.[18]
There are those who think, typically silently or between the lines but sometimes openly, that native peoples simply do not have the desire, smarts, and/or chutzpah to join advanced economies. We have developed a whole complex of myths to convince ourselves of this, stories about Native American ecological stewardship, hunting and gathering subsistence strategies, and economies based on gift exchange, a lack of private property rights, and even disdain for wealth accumulation. Slowly, however, old notions of communal or even socialist Indians are unraveling under an avalanche of archeological data on pre-contact native lifeways. It is now clear that most native groups were agriculturalists who farmed everything from corn to fish. Most tribes had clearly defined private property rights in land, horses, and other possessions, some vested in individuals and some vested in groups analogous to Western corporations.[19]
The existence of extensive trading networks is also becoming increasingly well documented. Pre-Columbian native groups even engaged in specialized manufacturing for large-scale, long-distance exchange. In Mitchell, South Dakota, researchers like my colleague Adrien Hannus are uncovering evidence of an extensive factory for processing bison hides and meat en masse hundreds of years before Columbus was born. Those goods were then exchanged for pottery from Cahokia – but it isn’t yet clear, and may never become clear, if those were arms length market transactions, inter-firm transfers, or something in between.[20]
Of course ultimately what matters for economic development today are Native Americans’ attitudes towards the market today. Ask just about anyone in South Dakota and they will tell you that most Reservation Indians are poor because most are lazy, lying, drunken bastards. Or words to that effect. Unfortunately, casual observers have the causality backwards. People do what they have incentives to do. Many casual observers used to think of Mexicans as sombrero-wearing, siesta-taking, Jose Cuervo-swilling miscreants but after NAFTA and other reforms improved incentives south of the border those same observers now express fears that Mexicans are going to “take our jobs.” Ditto the Irish, nay all Catholics if you want to go down Max Weber’s well worn path of prejudice. And when is the last term you heard a good Pollock joke? Well, gosh darn it, Poland got rid of Communism and joined the EU and now it only takes one Pole to screw in a light bulb.[21]
What I am trying to say here is that it is too easy to dismiss the potential of entire peoples by positing a sort of culture of poverty trap. The latest and greatest research indicates that grinding poverty was not a cultural trait of Native peoples. Their technology lagged that of their western European conquerors for roughly the reasons outlined by Jared Diamond in Guns, Germs, and Steel but their population densities were at world standards, per capita incomes were much closer to those of Western Europeans than they are today, and their overall levels of individual health, abstracted from studies of their bones, may very well have exceeded those of Europe. Post contact, numerous individual Natives as well as entire tribes tried to attain riches and some succeeded. Some owned slaves, others huge ranches or lumber operations, others lucrative energy or mineral leases. More recently, a few have established fabulously successful casinos.[22]
Many Natives do profess disdain for wealth accumulation but to a large extent economic conditions determine cultural attitudes toward the wealthy. In a poor, stagnant economy, it makes sense to be critical of large wealth because the rich probably got that way by exploiting others. Thus we have the African “PHD” or pull him down behavior and the infamous jokes about crabs in boiling water preventing each other from escaping death and Russian peasants who would rather see their neighbor’s cattle destroyed than their own herds increased. In most parts of America, by contrast, social jealousy is expressed differently, as “keeping up with the Joneses” rather than torching the neighbor’s new Mercedes. In pockets of rural poverty, like the Reservations, or in urban ghettoes, by contrast, the only practical way of maintaining community standards is to prevent others from getting ahead.[23]
What I am suggesting here is that rather than lamenting, or trying to change, cultural characteristics, policymakers should concentrate on economic development. The culture will reform itself as expectations about future household wealth adjust to improved conditions. It generally takes only a decade or two to see pronounced improvements in prevailing cultural sentiments. In short, there is no reason to “kill the Indian, save the man” or to destroy native cultures as they are not inherently antithetical to development. Most natives want property, and they want it protected. As American Indian Rides at Door put it: “I want some law or protection whereby I can always hold that [incidentally oil rich] property intact so that no white man can take it away from me.”[24]
The question for policymakers convinced by the growth diamond model is how to credibly commit to a policy of protecting the lives, liberties, and properties of Native Americans, especially those living on Reservations. The ultimate goal is to learn what threats to their lives, liberties, and properties Natives perceive and then to remove those threats in palpable and permanent ways. The federal government doesn’t have a very good record of keeping its promises to native peoples and the record of tribal governments is so far spotty at best. At the very least, governments at all levels need to reduce uncertainty by creating clear, equitable policies about land ownership and jurisdictional authority that it can stick to over the vagaries of election cycles and swings in political sentiment.[25]
Canada may be a place to begin looking for clues. Our northern neighbors have clearly bested us, repeatedly, in the realm of financial regulation and in the last few decades anyway in the treatment of native peoples. Canadian policymakers are not perfect, as they are the first to admit, but there is much we can learn from them. Other valuable resources include the recommendations in Robert J. Miller’s recent book, Reservation “Capitalism” and in the Harvard Project’s book. Finally, after federal, state, county, and tribal governments have become non-predatory, and are amply checked from returning to their formerly predatory ways, policymakers, especially at the federal and state levels, have to learn to step aside and allow economic development to proceed in its own way. Adam Smith was not right about everything, but he did correctly predict that economic development occurs where ever and whenever people have confidence that they will be able to be able to keep the just fruits of their labors. What Natives need most, therefore, is a climate “conducive [to] economic development,” not “affirmative entrepreneurship policies.” As Lynn Rapp, an investment advisor and Oglala Lakota, put it: “In every economy from the beginning of time, the more governments are involved, the less successful … business becomes.”[26]
Thank you.


Notes



[1] For more information about the model and more in-depth discussion of specific cases, see Robert E. Wright, One Nation Under Debt: Hamilton, Jefferson, and the History of What We Owe (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2008), 2-15; George D. Smith, Richard Sylla, and Robert E. Wright. “The Diamond of Sustainable Growth,” Sternbusiness (Spring/Summer 2007): 26-29.
[2] M. A. Thomas, “What Do the Worldwide Governance Indicators Measure?” European Journal of Development Research 22 (2012): 31-54; Martin Cihak, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, Erik Feyen, and Ross Levine, “Benchmarking Financial Systems Around the World,” (World Bank, August 2012). 
[3] Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999), 36, 39-40; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 73.
[4] Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 39-40, 46; The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 4, 20, 113; William Easterly, The White Man’s Burden: Why the West’s Efforts to Aid the Rest Have Done So Much Ill and So Little Good (New York: Penguin Press, 2006); Dambisa Moyo, Dead Aid: Why Aid Is Not Working and How There Is a Better Way for Africa (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2009); Hernando de Soto, The Mystery of Capital: Why Capitalism Triumphs in the West and Fails Everywhere Else (New York: Basic Books, 2000); The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 113; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 277; Duane Champagne, “Tribal Capitalism and Native Capitalists: Multiple Pathways of Native Economy,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 324;  www.econlib.org/library/Smith/smWN0.html; Tim Giago, “The Failed Policies of the Democrats on Indian Reservations Will Continue Under Matt Varilek,” Huff Post (28 Oct. 2012). www.huffingtonpost.com/tim-giago/the-failed-policies-of-th_b_1997978.html 
[6] Albert Gallatin, Considerations on the Currency and Banking System of the United States (Philadelphia: Carey & Lea, 1831), 17; “Manufacturing Corporations,” American Jurist (July 1829), 92.
[7] Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 93; The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 130; Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999), 111.
[8] Bahman Dehgan, ed. America in Quotations (Jefferson, North Carolina: McFarland & Co., 2003), 20; Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 34; The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 369; Will G. Robinson, “Digest of the Report of the Commissioner of Indian Affairs, 1877,” South Dakota Historical Collections and Report 32 (1964): 260; Martha Shirk and Anna Wadia, Kitchen Table Entrepreneurs: How Eleven Women Escaped Poverty and Became Their Own Bosses (New York: Westview Press, 2002), 112; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 7-8; Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999), 113; Linda Barrington, “Native Americans and U.S. Economic History,” in Linda Barrington, ed., The Other Side of the Frontier: Economic Explorations into Native American History (Boulder, Col.: Westview Press, 1999), 33.
[9] Will G. Robinson, “Board of Indian Commissioners Report, 1880,” South Dakota Historical Collections and Report 32 (1964): 498; Will G. Robinson, “Digest of the Report of the Commissioner of Indian Affairs, 1877,” South Dakota Historical Collections and Report 32 (1964): 268, 271, 385; Jennifer Malkin and Johnnie Aseron, Native Entrepreneurship in South Dakota: A Deeper Look (CFED, 2006), 23; George Kolbenschlag, A Whirlwind Passes: Newspaper Correspondents and the Sioux Indian Disturbances of 1890-1891 (Vermillion: University of South Dakota Press, 1990), 20-23; Estella Bowen Culp, Letters from Tully: A Woman’s Life on the Dakota Frontier (Boulder, Col.: Johnson Books, 2007), 207; The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 55, 96-99, 102; Alexandra Harmon, Rich Indians: Native People and the Problem of Wealth in American History (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 2010), 195-96, 205; Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 44, 94, 121; The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 96-97; Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999), 92, 95; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 39-40; William Bauer, “Working for Identity: Race, Ethnicity, and the Market Economy in Northern California, 1875-1936,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 245; Kathy M’Closkey, “The Devil’s in the Details: Tracing the Fingerprints of Free Trade and Its Effects on Navajo Weavers,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 113.
[10] Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 94, 123; The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 69-81; Kathleen Ann Pickering, Lakota Culture, World Economy (Lincoln: University of Nebraska Press, 2000), 17-18. Martha Shirk and Anna Wadia, Kitchen Table Entrepreneurs: How Eleven Women Escaped Poverty and Became Their Own Bosses (New York: Westview Press, 2002), 111 mentions the moccasin factory, which apparently had a putting out system component; 25th Annual Report of the Employment Security Department of South Dakota (1961), 17; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 169-72, 250; Sebastian Braun, Buffalo Inc.: American Indians and Economic Development (Norman: Oklahoma University Press, 2008).
[11] Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 210-11; Kathleen P. Chamberlain, Under Sacred Ground: A History of Navajo Oil, 1922-1982 (Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press, 2000), x-xii, 38-40, 92-115. On cigarette sales by Indian tribes, see Philip DeCicca, Donald Kenkel, and Feng Liu, “Reservation Prices: An Economic Analysis of Cigarette Purchases on Indian Reservations,” (Working Paper, September 2012) and Jessica R. Cattelino, “Casino Roots: The Cultural Production of Twentieth-Century Seminole Economic Development,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 81-85.
[12] The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 7-10, 114-16, 121-25, 135-36, 145, 156, 161, 369-72; Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999), 69; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 81-85; Duane Champagne, “Tribal Capitalism and Native Capitalists: Multiple Pathways of Native Economy,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 318-20.
[13] Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 119, 126-27; The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 9, 23, 203-212; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 12, 258; Richard Polsky, Boneheads: My Search for T. Rex (San Francisco: Council Oak Books, 2011) 96-98; Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999), 79.
[14] Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 102, 106-8, 120-21, 142-43; The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 19-20, 24, 126-9; Jennifer Malkin and Johnnie Aseron, Native Entrepreneurship in South Dakota: A Deeper Look (CFED, 2006), 51-52; Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999), 36, 41; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 190-93.
[15] Stephanie Woodard, “Pine Ridge Gets New Credit Union on Reservation With ‘No Other Access to Federally Insured Financial Services’,” Indian Country (31 August 2012); Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 2, 148-49; The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 130-31; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 40-42.
[16] Jennifer Malkin and Johnnie Aseron, Native Entrepreneurship in South Dakota: A Deeper Look (CFED, 2006), 5, 42; Duane Champagne, “Tribal Capitalism and Native Capitalists: Multiple Pathways of Native Economy,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 320-21.
[17] The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 117-121; Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 3, 113, 129; Cary C. Collins and Charles V. Mutschler, eds., A Doctor Among the Oglala Sioux Tribe: The Letters of Robert H. Ruby, 1953-1954 (Lincoln: University of Nebraska Press, 2010); Martha Shirk and Anna Wadia, Kitchen Table Entrepreneurs: How Eleven Women Escaped Poverty and Became Their Own Bosses (New York: Westview Press, 2002); Dale Peterson, Storyville USA (Athens: University of Georgia Press, 1999); Kathleen Ann Pickering, Lakota Culture, World Economy (Lincoln: University of Nebraska Press, 2000); Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 169-70, 220; Jennifer Malkin and Johnnie Aseron, Native Entrepreneurship in South Dakota: A Deeper Look (CFED, 2006), 5, 11-12, 29, 39-41, 49-50; Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999); Kenneth Provost, “American Indian Entrepreneurs: A Case Study,” (Ph.D. diss., South Dakota State University, 1991); Duane Champagne, “Tribal Capitalism and Native Capitalists: Multiple Pathways of Native Economy,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 317-18; Michael J. Francisconi, Kinship, Capitalism, Change: The Informal Economy of the Navajo, 1868-1995 (New York: Routledge, 1998), 81-98, 103-5.
[18] Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 49-70; The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 26, 44-47, 112. For other examples of tribal economic success see Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 78-79, 85-86, 252-53. The characteristics of successful individual Indian entrepreneurs is very similar to the population at large: appropriate education, experience, and social skills. See Kenneth Provost, “American Indian Entrepreneurs: A Case Study,” (Ph.D. diss., South Dakota State University, 1991); Duane Champagne, “Tribal Capitalism and Native Capitalists: Multiple Pathways of Native Economy,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 322-23.
[19] Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 11-16; Alexandra Harmon, Rich Indians: Native People and the Problem of Wealth in American History (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 2010), 9, 209; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 77; David Arnold, “Work and Culture in Southeastern Alaska: Tlingits and the Salmon Fisheries,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 156-83; Linda Barrington, “The Mississippians and Economic Development Before European Colonization,” in Linda Barrington, ed., The Other Side of the Frontier: Economic Explorations into Native American History (Boulder, Col.: Westview Press, 1999), 86-102.
[20] Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 10, 21-24, 115-16.
[21] Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 5, 207.
[22] Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 4-5, 8-24, 29; Alexandra Harmon, Rich Indians: Native People and the Problem of Wealth in American History (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 2010), 5, 17-54; Jared Diamond, Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies (New York: W. W. Norton, 1997); Angus Maddison, The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective (OECD, 2001), 231-32, 264; P. Willey, Prehistoric Warfare on the Great Plains: Skeletal Analysis of the Crow Creek Massacre Victims (New York: Garland, 1990), 153-75; Duane Champagne, “Tribal Capitalism and Native Capitalists: Multiple Pathways of Native Economy,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 314-16; Paul C. Rosier, “Searching for Salvation and Sovereignty: Blackfeet Oil Leasing and the Reconstruction of the Tribe,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 32-44; Nicholas G. Rosenthal, “The Dawn of a New Day?: Notes on Indian Gaming in Southern California,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 90-111; Linda Barrington, “The Mississippians and Economic Development Before European Colonization,” in Linda Barrington, ed., The Other Side of the Frontier: Economic Explorations into Native American History (Boulder, Col.: Westview Press, 1999), 86-102; Daniel H. Usner, Jr., American Indians in the Lower Mississippi Valley: Social and Economic Histories (Lincoln: University of Nebraska Press, 1998), 95; Brian Hosmer, American Indians in the Marketplace: Persistence and Innovation Among the Menominees and Metlakatlans, 1870-1920 (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 1999).
[23] Robert J. Miller, Reservation “Capitalism”: Economic Development in Indian Country (New York: Praeger, 2012), 117-18; Jennifer Malkin and Johnnie Aseron, Native Entrepreneurship in South Dakota: A Deeper Look (CFED, 2006), 26; Ian Frazier, On the Rez (New York: Farrar, Straus, and Giroux, 2000), 12, 218, 238, 241-42, 246, 249-50; Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999), 38-39, 49, 65-66, 83, 85-86.
[24] Colleen O’Neill, “Rethinking Modernity and the Discourse of Development in American Indian History, an Introduction,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 3, 14-15; Jessica R. Cattelino, “Casino Roots: The Cultural Production of Twentieth-Century Seminole Economic Development,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 66-90; As quoted in Paul C. Rosier, “Searching for Salvation and Sovereignty: Blackfeet Oil Leasing and the Reconstruction of the Tribe,” in Brian Hosmer and Colleen O’Neill, eds. Native Pathways: American Indian Culture and Economic Development in the Twentieth Century (Boulder: University Press of Colorado, 2004), 28; Brian Hosmer, American Indians in the Marketplace: Persistence and Innovation Among the Menominees and Metlakatlans, 1870-1920 (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 1999), xii, 16-17.
[25] The Harvard Project on American Indian Economic Development, The State of the Native Nations: Conditions Under U.S. Policies of Self-Determination (New York: Oxford University Press, 2008), 58, 134-35; Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999), 83.
[26] Jennifer Malkin and Johnnie Aseron, Native Entrepreneurship in South Dakota: A Deeper Look (CFED, 2006), 46; Lisa Little Chief Bryan, American Indian Entrepreneurs: Rosebud and Pine Ridge Reservations Case Studies (Pablo, Montana: Salish Kootenai College Press, 1999), 68.